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Private Equity Outlook 2024

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Guide

Private Equity Outlook 2024

A practical guide to help private equity professionals emerge from an underperforming year and create sustainable value for investors.

Explore what’s next for Private Equity in 2024

  • Executive Summary

  • Private Equity 2023 Recap & 2024 Outlook

  • Strategic Considerations

  • Introduction of the Private Equity Outlook 2024 Guide
  • Features of the Private Equity Outlook 2024 Guide

In 2023, Private equity (PE) were faced with significant headwinds due to persistent inflation and increased interest rates, leading to a notable downturn in dealmaking, exits, and fundraising activities. 

Despite an underperforming year, the outlook for 2024 is cautiously optimistic. With interest rates expected to stabilize, economic recovery on the horizon, and PE firms holding record levels of dry powder reserves, the stars are aligned for deal-making activities to return to normal. On the other hand, after postponing exit activities in 2023, PE firms are under pressure to distribute capital back to its investors, creating more urgency for them to actively seek exit opportunities in 2024. The lack of return will also make investors more selective when putting money into new funds, making fundraising more challenging.

To navigate the aftermath of a difficult year, PE firms should make long-term value creation their top priority. In addition, to prevent undesirable exist or insufficient capital, PE firms should explore Net Asset Value (NAV) financing and other alternatives to secure asset returns. They could also employ innovative exit strategies to overcome the valuation gap caused by market volatility. Options like continuation funds, performance-based earn-outs, and corporate carve-outs can offer viable paths to liquidity. Finally, technologies such as generative AI can play a pivotal role in enhancing deal analysis, optimizing operational efficiency in portfolio companies, and ensuring smoother post-acquisition integration. Amid economic uncertainties and cautious investor sentiment, this multi-faceted approach will be vital for PE firms to thrive in 2024.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Faced with persistent inflation and spiking interest rates over the past year, the PE industry witnessed a significant downturn in dealmaking, exiting and fundraising. According to Bain & Company, deal counts have decreased 35% from 2021, and deal value decreased by 60%. Nearly 55% of funds were closed, and exit values decreased by 66%. 

While 2023 proved to be a tough year, industry professionals remain optimistic of 2024. According to a Roland Berger survey, 65% of industry experts anticipate an increase in M&A transactions in 2024, thanks to normalized interest rates and expected recoveries from major European economies.

In 2024, PE firms should focus on long-term value creation for their portfolio companies. In addition, to prevent undesirable exit or insufficient capital, PE firms should explore alternative financing approach such as Net Asset Value (NAV) financing. They could also employ innovative exit strategies to overcome the valuation gap caused by market volatility.

General partners (GPs) are increasingly taking part in the day-to-day management and strategic decision-making of the portfolio companies, adopting a more hands-on approach to drive measurable improvements. The continuous focus on value creation will also pay off in terms of fundraising. Despite a competitive environment, GPs who have been diligent in executing value creation initiatives will continue to gain access to quality financing at reasonable cost.

Want to know how to utilize structured frameworks, crucial levers and impactful strategies for value creation? Check out Consultport’s Private Equity Value Creation Guide!

Ready to start making deals and creating long-term value for your portfolio companies?

Download our “Private Equity Outlook 2024” to get started!